SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Nashville SC |
48.27% ( 0.02) | 25% ( -0.01) | 26.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.02) | 49.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.02) | 71.46% ( -0.02) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.02) | 20.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( 0.03) | 52.99% ( -0.02) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% | 32.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( 0) | 69.42% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.27% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.73% |
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