SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
52.29% ( 0.16) | 24.45% ( -0.05) | 23.25% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.1) | 50.03% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.09) | 72.01% ( -0.09) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( 0.1) | 19.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( 0.17) | 50.72% ( -0.17) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.05) | 36.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.05) | 72.94% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
