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NE
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39
Oct 17, 2021 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
CF

New England
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kaptoum (47'), Bou (76')
Buchanan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Medran (49'), Aliseda (88')
Navarro (60'), Navarro (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawChicago Fire
66.91%19.2%13.88%
Both teams to score 51.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.22%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42%11.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.46%36.54%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.47%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 66.91%
    Chicago Fire 13.88%
    Draw 19.2%
New England RevolutionDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.31%
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 7.05%
4-0 @ 4.38%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 3.05%
5-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 66.91%
1-1 @ 9.09%
0-0 @ 4.87%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.2%
0-1 @ 4.22%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 13.88%

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