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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Sep 12, 2021 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
NY

New England
2 - 1
NY City

Boateng (21'), Buchanan (65')
Kessler (63'), Buksa (64'), Polster (90'), Gil (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (11')
Morales (45+2'), Castellanos (52'), Andrade (74')
Morales (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawNew York City FC
46.37%23.18%30.44%
Both teams to score 62.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12%38.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8%61.19%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.67%47.33%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56%59.44%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 46.37%
    New York City FC 30.44%
    Draw 23.18%
New England RevolutionDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.44%

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