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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
BMO Field
CF

Toronto
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Beric (16')
Offor (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
52.85%23.75%23.4%
Both teams to score 54.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02%46.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78%69.22%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27%17.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6%48.4%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66%34.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95%71.04%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 52.85%
    Chicago Fire 23.4%
    Draw 23.75%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 52.85%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 23.4%

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