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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Sep 23, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
NE

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
New England

Teran (40'), Gimenez (64')
Teran (17'), Medran (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kessler (11'), Bunbury (62'), Gil (90+1')
Caldwell (31'), Gil (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
36.52%24.65%38.83%
Both teams to score 59.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97%44.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59%66.41%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07%57.93%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82%56.17%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.52%
    New England Revolution 38.83%
    Draw 24.64%
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.83%

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