Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.