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NE
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24
Aug 8, 2021 at 11pm UK
Gillette Stadium
PU

New England
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
53.18%24.28%22.53%
Both teams to score 51.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93%50.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.96%72.04%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83%50.16%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.63%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 53.17%
    Philadelphia Union 22.53%
    Draw 24.28%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.53%

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