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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6
May 13, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
NE

Philadelphia
1 - 1
New England

Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
48.95%24.54%26.51%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38%47.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18%69.82%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5%19.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62%51.38%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93%32.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.94%
    New England Revolution 26.51%
    Draw 24.53%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 5.18%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 26.51%

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