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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 27
Aug 29, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
NE

NY City
2 - 0
New England

Castellanos (31', 55')
Rodriguez (37'), Sands (40'), Chanot (45+2'), Thorarinsson (87'), Jasson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Farrell (45+4'), Polster (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
56.39%22.42%21.19%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34%43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95%66.05%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47%34.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75%71.25%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.39%
    New England Revolution 21.19%
    Draw 22.41%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.91%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 5.62%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.19%

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