Although both sides avoided defeat in their last game, it is Chicago Fire who have recently built up a head of steam. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to make it three MLS triumphs on the bounce.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
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