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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Orlando City |
50.16% ( -0.04) | 23.41% ( -0.02) | 26.42% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( 0.13) | 42.71% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.13) | 65.11% ( -0.13) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( 0.03) | 17.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( 0.06) | 47.37% ( -0.06) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.11) | 29.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0.14) | 65.57% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.42% |
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