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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
46.04% ( 0.06) | 25.65% ( 0.02) | 28.31% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% ( -0.11) | 51.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.09) | 72.93% ( 0.09) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( -0.02) | 22.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( -0.03) | 55.56% ( 0.03) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.11) | 32.5% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.12) | 69.02% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.31% |
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