SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.22% ( -0.28) | 22.93% ( 0.02) | 20.85% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( 0.27) | 46.31% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( 0.25) | 68.6% ( -0.26) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% | 16.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.17% ( 0) | 45.83% ( -0.01) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.42) | 36.36% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( 0.42) | 73.15% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.85% |
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