SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 68.16% | 18.97% | 12.87% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% | 43.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% | 65.51% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% | 11.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.38% | 36.62% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% | 44.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.55% | 80.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-0 @ 11.95% 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.83% 5-0 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.54% Total : 68.16% | 1-1 @ 9.02% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.97% | 0-1 @ 4.19% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.27% Total : 12.87% |
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