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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 24, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
N

Philadelphia
1 - 0
Nashville

Przybylko (18' pen.)
Przybylko (27'), Glesnes (55'), Monteiro (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loba (23'), Godoy (53'), Nealis (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
51.78%26.1%22.12%
Both teams to score 45.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77%22.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34%55.66%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65%41.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13%77.87%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 51.77%
    Nashville SC 22.12%
    Draw 26.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 13.82%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 22.12%

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