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FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39
Oct 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
OC

Cincinnati
0 - 1
Orlando City


Bailey (80'), Cameron (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Urso (13')
Carlos (66'), Perea (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
33.2%26.43%40.37%
Both teams to score 52.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93%74.07%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.79%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47%25.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62%60.38%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 33.2%
    Orlando City 40.37%
    Draw 26.42%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.37%

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