Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
