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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Aug 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
NY

Philadelphia
1 - 0
NY City

Bedoya (67')
Elliott (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (25'), Sands (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
39.23%26.07%34.7%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38%50.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47%72.53%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.11%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46%63.54%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 39.23%
    New York City FC 34.7%
    Draw 26.07%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.7%

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