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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
41.19% ( -0.02) | 25.34% ( 0.01) | 33.47% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( -0.02) | 47.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.02) | 69.9% ( 0.02) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.02) | 23.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.03) | 56.83% ( 0.03) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0) | 27.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( 0) | 62.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.47% |
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