SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
65.38% ( 0.79) | 19.21% ( -0.07) | 15.41% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( -1.17) | 38.48% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( -1.25) | 60.78% ( 1.25) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( -0.13) | 11.03% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.66% ( -0.29) | 35.33% ( 0.29) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -1.64) | 37.85% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( -1.63) | 74.63% ( 1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.46)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.34% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.41% |
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