SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.6% ( 0.02) | 22.88% ( -0.01) | 24.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.03) | 42.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.03) | 64.41% ( -0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.02) | 16.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( 0.03) | 45.33% ( -0.03) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( 0) | 30.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( 0) | 66.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.51% |
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