SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
33.91% ( 0.09) | 24.8% ( 0.07) | 41.29% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.27) | 45.13% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( -0.26) | 67.47% ( 0.27) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.08) | 25.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -0.11) | 60.71% ( 0.11) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.19) | 21.85% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -0.29) | 55.08% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.29% |
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