SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
34.08% ( -0) | 23.5% | 42.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% ( -0.01) | 38.96% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% ( -0.01) | 61.28% ( 0) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.01) | 22.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( -0.01) | 56.45% ( 0.01) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0) | 18.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.85% ( -0) | 50.14% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.94% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.51% Total : 42.41% |
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