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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
PT

Houston
2 - 2
Portland

Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
44.22%25.1%30.68%
Both teams to score 55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48%21.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42%54.58%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1%64.9%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 44.22%
    Portland Timbers 30.68%
    Draw 25.09%
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.22%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.68%

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