Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.