Major League Soccer

Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
1 - 1
Nashville

Moreno (27')
McGraw (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bunbury (20')
Zimmerman (45+1'), Williams (60'), Bunbury (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Nashville SC

These are the top two teams in the Western Conference regarding draws, and with the standings so tight, we do not expect either team to take too many chances, seeing as they are both currently above the playoff line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Nashville SC
51.24% ( -0.58)	24.38% ( 0.17)	24.38% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

-0.35)

48.66% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-0.32)

70.78% (

0.31)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.36)

18.99% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.6)

50.53% (

0.6)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6% (

0.16)

34.4% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89% (

0.17)

71.1% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 51.24%

Nashville SC 24.38%

Draw 24.38%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.38%