SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 4 | 31 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 1 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 23 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 4 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
51.24% ( -0.58) | 24.38% ( 0.17) | 24.38% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.35) | 48.66% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.32) | 70.78% ( 0.31) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.36) | 18.99% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.6) | 50.53% ( 0.6) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.16) | 34.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% ( 0.17) | 71.1% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.38% |
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