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Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
SJ
Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes
Niezgoda (53'), Asprilla (71')
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kikanovic (42')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 1-1 Vancouver
Monday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Portland Timbers have been free-scoring this season, and that coupled with their impressive form at home is something that could lead to them being a great threat. The visitors have been struggling throughout this season, and while they will no doubt put up a fight this could be a job too far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
58.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 20.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.35%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.18%
    Draw 21.48%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Vancouver
Monday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-3 Portland
Saturday, July 9 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Portland
Monday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Houston
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Houston
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

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