Major League Soccer

Jul 24, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Niezgoda (53'), Asprilla (71')
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kikanovic (42')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Portland Timbers have been free-scoring this season, and that coupled with their impressive form at home is something that could lead to them being a great threat. The visitors have been struggling throughout this season, and while they will no doubt put up a fight this could be a job too far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
58.35% ( 0.01)	21.48% ( -0)	20.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.23% (

-0)

40.77% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.84% (

-0)

63.16% (

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

13.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.05% (

40.95% (

-0)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

-0.01)

33.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-0.01)

70.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 58.35%

San Jose Earthquakes 20.18%

Draw 21.48%

Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.35%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 20.18%