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N
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
PT
Nashville
2 - 2
Portland
Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Portland Timbers

These are two highly experienced teams, capable of playing with a solid and compact shape, while they have both improved defensively, making for what we anticipate will be a tough match for either side to find enough space in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
55.14% (1.321 1.32) 23.62% (-0.359 -0.36) 21.23% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.4 0.4)48.75% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.361 0.36)70.86% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.636 0.64)17.54% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (1.098 1.1)48.07% (-1.101 -1.1)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.718 -0.72)37.37% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.71 -0.71)74.15% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.14%
    Portland Timbers 21.23%
    Draw 23.62%
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.245 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.114 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 55.14%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Nashville
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, May 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Montreal
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Houston
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-2 Philadelphia
Monday, May 23 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Portland
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

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