Major League Soccer

Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 1
Nashville

Vazquez (52')
Cameron (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bunbury (6')
Muyl (39'), Lovitz (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville SC

There is very little to separate the sides heading into this one, and we expect a closely-contested affair with honours split evenly at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Nashville SC
37.56% ( -0.73)	27.03% ( 0.2)	35.41% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5% (

-0.77)

54.5% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

-0.64)

75.85% (

0.65)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92% (

-0.78)

28.08% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-1.01)

63.74% (

1.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.05)

29.37% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

-0.06)

65.35% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 37.56%

Nashville SC 35.41%

Draw 27.02%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.56%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.41%