Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
