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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Aug 5, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
SJ

Portland
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Mora (45+6')
van Rankin (29'), Williamson (85'), Chara (90+2'), Blanco (90+6'), Mabiala (90+10')
Chara (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (24')
Salinas (90+6'), Cardoso (90+8'), Lopez (90+9')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
54.66%22.92%22.42%
Both teams to score 55.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6%44.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22%66.77%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85%16.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41%45.59%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54%70.46%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 54.66%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.42%
    Draw 22.92%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 22.42%

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