These teams have split the last four meetings between them, with the road team winning each time, and given how poor the Timbers have looked defensively of late, we expect the Sounders to be a little more clinical in the attacking third, especially with Ruidiaz seemingly back in form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
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