The Timbers are unbeaten in their last five matches against SKC, and while we do not expect this game to be entirely as one-sided as their earlier encounter this year, in which Portland won 7-2, the home side have been poor defensively, allowing multiple goals in five straight games, something we think will hamper them in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
51.48% ( -0.09)	24% ( 0.06)	24.52% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04% (

-0.22)

46.96% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.2)

69.21% (

0.2)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-0.12)

18.24% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72% (

-0.2)

49.28% (

0.2)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.09)

33.35% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.1)

69.97% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 51.48%

Portland Timbers 24.52%

Draw 23.99%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.48%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.52%