Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
