Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
