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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
AF

Earthquakes
4 - 0
Austin

Lopez (47'), Kikanovic (53'), Wondolowski (59'), Fierro (85')
Cardoso (25'), Lopez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Romana (39'), Ring (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawAustin FC
58.42%22.63%18.95%
Both teams to score 51.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42%47.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03%15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73%45.27%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9%39.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18%75.82%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.41%
    Austin FC 18.95%
    Draw 22.62%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.03%
4-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 58.41%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18.95%

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