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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Oct 30, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
SJ

Salt Lake
3 - 4
Earthquakes

Rusnak (9', 90+3'), Chang (85')
Glad (48')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fierro (37'), Wondolowski (45+3'), Cowell (69'), Yueill (79')
Alanis (27'), Yueill (45'), Judson (58'), Espinoza (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.54%22.56%21.9%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22%65.78%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51%15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62%44.37%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.35%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 55.54%
    San Jose Earthquakes 21.9%
    Draw 22.55%
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.9%

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