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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
NY

DC United
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Paredes (9')
Moreno (36'), Najar (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
41.77%25.09%33.14%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36%46.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09%68.91%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73%22.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28%55.72%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Score Analysis
    DC United 41.77%
    New York Red Bulls 33.14%
    Draw 25.09%
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.14%

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