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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 24, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
VW

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Vancouver

Kikanovic (60')
Thompson (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gaspar (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
59.36%21.42%19.21%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03%41.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63%64.37%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21%13.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9%41.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45%35.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68%72.32%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 59.36%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 19.21%
    Draw 21.42%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.62%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-1 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.21%

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