Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
