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Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
FD

Seattle
3 - 2
Dallas

Ruidiaz (78'), Morris (88', 90+4')
Vargas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Delgado (66'), Musa (70')
Musa (28'), Sealy (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Dallas

With both teams on an upward curve, we expect a competitive encounter to play out on Saturday night. Goals were scored at each end in their respective most recent fixtures, and more of the same could occur at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
61.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 16.39% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 49% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (0.167 0.17)47.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.156 0.16)70.13% (-0.158 -0.16)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)14.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (0.079000000000001 0.08)43.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (0.174 0.17)42.38% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (0.152 0.15)78.76% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 61.86%
    Dallas 16.39%
    Draw 21.75%
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Dallas
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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