Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result | ||
Seattle Sounders | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
54.24% ( -0.31) | 23.04% ( 0.28) | 22.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.52% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% ( -1.21) | 44.58% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.06% ( -1.18) | 66.94% ( 1.18) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.64% ( -0.54) | 16.35% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.03% ( -0.98) | 45.96% ( 0.98) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( -0.64) | 33.62% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% ( -0.71) | 70.26% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Seattle Sounders | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.72% |
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