SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | -12 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
59.95% ( 0.39) | 21.48% ( -0.05) | 18.57% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.27) | 43.2% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.27) | 65.6% ( 0.27) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( 0.03) | 14.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.46% ( 0.06) | 41.54% ( -0.06) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.53) | 36.96% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( -0.53) | 73.75% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.94% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.57% |
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