Neither team can progress into the MLS playoffs, but out of the two, it is San Jose Earthquakes who have the most to play for in this game.
The visitors will not want to finish the season bottom of the league, and the desire to finish higher than that could be the difference maker here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
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