Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 3am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
2 - 1
Seattle

Vite (29'), Gressel (37')
Gressel (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bruin (89')
Roldan (25'), Lodeiro (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Seattle Sounders

There is a lot is riding on this match for these two rivals who are desperate to get back above the playoff line, and with so much at stake, we anticipate both sides will hang back and be more concerned about not conceding, rather than taking chances going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Seattle Sounders
42.15% ( -0.23)	25.64% ( -0.02)	32.21% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

0.15)

49.35% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.13)

71.4% (

-0.13)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0.05)

23.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

-0.07)

57.19% (

0.07)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.23)

28.88% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

0.29)

64.74% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 42.15%

Seattle Sounders 32.21%

Draw 25.63%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.15%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.21%