Major League Soccer

Sep 5, 2022 at 2am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
2 - 1
Houston

Tolo (59'), Montero (76')
Montero (77'), Rusnak (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Steres (26')
Dorsey (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Neither team heads into this game in particularly strong form overall, but after a fresh victory in midweek, the visitors do have slightly more momentum behind them. That is something that could work in Houston Dynamo's favour, despite the fact they are lower down in the league table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	Houston Dynamo
62.25% ( 0.08)	20.81% ( -0.01)	16.94% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.08% (

-0.06)

42.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.68% (

-0.05)

65.32% (

0.05)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.77% (

13.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.02% (

0.01)

39.98% (

-0.01)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.33% (

-0.11)

38.67% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.59% (

-0.11)

75.41% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 62.24%

Houston Dynamo 16.94%

Draw 20.81%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.16% Total : 62.24%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.81%	0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.94%