SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
48.23% ( 1.07) | 26.62% ( -0.13) | 25.15% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( -0.15) | 56.77% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( -0.12) | 77.71% ( 0.12) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 0.43) | 23.59% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.34% ( 0.62) | 57.66% ( -0.62) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.9) | 38.17% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% ( -0.88) | 74.93% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.15% |
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