Chicago Fire head into the weekend fresh off the back of a resounding cup victory and will be looking to build on that result. New York Red Bulls have struggled to get going, particularly on the road, where they are yet to pick up a win this season. We predict a cagey affair at Soldier Field, with the holds claiming a slender victory to heap more misery on the Red Bulls.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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