SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.44% ( -0.53) | 26.02% ( 0.48) | 27.54% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( -1.87) | 52.99% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -1.62) | 74.59% ( 1.61) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -1.03) | 22.79% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -1.55) | 56.5% ( 1.54) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.95) | 34.11% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -1.04) | 70.79% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.44% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.54% |
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