SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
38% ( -0.76) | 23.93% ( -0.42) | 38.07% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.76% ( 1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( 2.1) | 40.49% ( -2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( 2.12) | 62.86% ( -2.13) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.55) | 21.42% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( 0.84) | 54.43% ( -0.85) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.53) | 21.39% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 2.31) | 54.38% ( -2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.58)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.07% |
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