Neither side have been consistently sharp this season, but the Revs have probably the best chance creator in the league in Carles Gil, who will be a handful for the Black and Red. DC look tentative defensively, which New England should be able to exploit, and without Kamara, it is hard to know who will pose a threat up front for their new coach. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
40.32%	24.61%	35.07%

Both teams to score 58.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96%

44.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58%

66.42%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.07%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92%

59.08%

Score Analysis

DC United 40.32%

New England Revolution 35.07%

Draw 24.61%

DC United	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.32%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.07%