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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2021 at 12am UK
BMO Field
FC

Toronto
3 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
59.92%21.42%18.66%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71%41.28%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.38%36.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59%73.4%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 59.92%
    FC Cincinnati 18.66%
    Draw 21.41%
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 3.24%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 59.92%
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 18.66%

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