SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 35.36% | 24.86% | 39.78% |
| Both teams to score 58.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% | 45.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% | 24.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.57% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% | 22.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.79% | 56.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.78% |
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